Predictions
• The dissemination of vaccines will cause the infection rate and death rate to plummet faster than anticipated, and a renewed confidence will fuel consumer spending.
• Business profits in many sectors are high even with reduced revenues because expenses have been so much lower. Business will invest in expansion and hiring.
• Many consumers have money stockpiled because their expenses have been lower. A “Covid Cabin Fever” reaction will reinvigorate the hospitality industry with quick vacations and long weekends.
• One of the largest dichotomies in the nation (world?) will be the cautious people who continue to wear masks even when not required, and those who refuse to even be vaccinated because of conspiratorial paranoia.
• Twenty-five percent of every business, at a minimum, will be changed as a result of the past year. Not 25% of all businesses, but of every business.
• There will be a dramatic increase in physicians needing counseling as they fixate on life and death decisions they could have made differently. (A client of mine, who is young, contracted Covid and, alone on a hospital gurney, was asked by a calloused doctor if she wanted to sign a DNR and avoid major efforts to resuscitate her. She recovered completely.)
• They will eventually have to admit that, though the disease has a relatively small death rate, those deaths occurred overwhelmingly among people over 60, yet the vaccination effort at first (and, in some states, still) doesn’t make that demographic a priority.
• The medical and the military should have handled this, not the politicians. That will be a standard in the future.
• Countries that have not been able to contain the disease through lack of sufficient effort or incompetence will be increasingly isolated and their economies will be critically hurt.
• Families will realize that spending the holidays connected by Zoom and not going through the rituals of meals that are too large, arguments that never end, and trying to deal with that drunken uncle might just be the way to go in the future.
• We’ll understand great weakness in democracy was on display in the pitiful decisions and actions of most of the state governors. We don’t elect talented people, we elect popular people, or financially backed people, or wealthy people. But true talent and the willingness to serve are simply choked out of the electoral process. (I believe Andrew Cuomo, Governor of New York, has been a disgrace.)
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